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Chinese CRC to see lower price level but not far from bottom
It is reported that Chinese CRC export offers have come down again and such a downward trend is expected to continue taking into account the further weakening domestic prices.

On Shanghai market, 1.0mm CR sheet by Anshan steel goes at CNY 4300 per tonne down by CNY 100 per tonne from last Friday; 1.2mm to 2.0mm material at CNY 4200 per tonne a decrease of CNY 70 per tonne. While that for 1.0 CR coil by Maanshan steel fell by CNY 1120 per tonne to CNY 3950 per tonne.
As forecast, 1.0mm CRC price in
Shanghai has witnessed further decrease when it drops below CNY 4400 per tonne. Taking Shanghai price for 1.0 sheet by Anshan steel as benchmark, it is going to approach CNY 4000 per tonne or even lower as long as it remains under CNY 4400 per tonne.

Export offer for DC01 1.0mm CRC goes at USD 600 per tonne to USD 630 per tonne FOB which compares with USD 650 per tonne to USD 700 per tonne FOB late last month. Offers are expected to see another drop of USD 30 per tonne to USD 40 per tonne in November. If that's the case, it would return the same export price level in Q4 2006.

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